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I completely shut off my heat when it was -11 degrees Fahrenheit outside
for an entire 24&nbsp;hours to prove a point:

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my home’s heating system&nbsp;is wildly oversized

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and replacing that equipment with more modern technology will be much less&nbsp;involved than Local HVAC Company X probably thinks.

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One day in the not-too-distant future,

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I will undoubtedly be replacing my gas-fired forced-air furnace
with an electric heat pump.

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Heat pumps, despite what your Uncle on Facebook might be yelling at you,
are much better for&nbsp;the planet, and eventually

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(if not right now but due to variations in local energy supply&nbsp;
costs I cannot give a blanket statement yet)

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they'll be better for your wallet, too.

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But if&nbsp;someone were to look at my current heating system,

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and that someone assumes my current heating&nbsp;system
is actually appropriate for my home,

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which they very well might assume because it was&nbsp;
specced and installed by industry professionals,

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they might conclude that I will need a very large&nbsp;
heat pump capable of matching my current system’s heat output.

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Here’s the thing, though -

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I don’t.

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Not by a longshot!

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My current heating system is between
three and four times larger than it&nbsp;actually needs to be.

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And now I have solid proof to back it up.

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Which I will be showing&nbsp;you.

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That is indeed the point of this video.

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Before we continue, though, with this video,&nbsp;
I want to try something different.

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The video you’re currently watching won’t be that different:

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it’ll still be a wild ride where I explain way too much
in my typically cantankerous fashion.

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But you may have noticed the runtime.

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Yeah, we’re covering a lot - also, I’ll apologize&nbsp;up-front,
the teaser about shutting off my heat?

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It’ll be a little bit before we get there.

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But&nbsp;truthfully, the conclusions here are important
and I want this to spread beyond my normal audience.

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So I will be releasing a condensed version tailored to a more general audience alongside&nbsp;this one on the second channel.

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If there are people in your life you wish to share this with,

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or you’re just short on time, that might be a better fit.

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There’s a link in the description and right&nbsp;there.

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But for the rest of ya, well here we go.

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In the intro, I used the word "oversized."

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That’s&nbsp;really what this video is about:
determining the correct HVAC system sizing.

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By size, I&nbsp;mean the system’s total heating and cooling capacity.

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Systems come in different sizes&nbsp;because every home is different
and how much heating and cooling that home needs depends&nbsp;on many factors.

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How big is it?

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How tall are the ceilings?

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How many floors?

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Where is it?

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What’s the local climate?

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Which direction are the windows facing?

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How many are there?

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How big are they?

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What’s their R-value?

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Are they low-E windows?

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Is there shading from trees&nbsp;or other structures?

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What building materials is the home made from?

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How old is it?

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How much&nbsp;insulation does it have and where?

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What kind of home is it?

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Single-family?

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Multi-family?

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Is&nbsp;there a basement?

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Crawlspace?

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Slab?

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Attic?

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And on and on and on.

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All of that actually matters&nbsp;when determining the heating and cooling demand a home will need,

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and that demand should&nbsp;dictate the equipment that gets installed.

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But that’s a lot of variables to juggle,

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and&nbsp;if there’s one thing I know about humans,

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it’s that we’d rather things be easy than&nbsp;correct.

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So way more often than not

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(at least in literally all of my experience thus far)

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the main and quite possibly only variable that is considered
is the home’s total floor area

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and&nbsp;HVAC system capacities get chosen using simple rules of thumb
based on the geographic area you’re&nbsp;in,

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possibly tweaked by a sales rep’s observations if you're lucky.

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And that simply isn’t good&nbsp;enough any longer for many, many reasons.

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Which brings me to me!

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A while ago I moved&nbsp;into a fairly new townhome.

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That term is kind of regional so in case you’re not familiar
or it&nbsp;means something else where you live,

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it’s a kind of multi-family housing where one large structure&nbsp;
is subdivided into multiple housing units which share one or more walls,

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but each housing unit has its own&nbsp;private exterior entrances.

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You might call it a rowhouse or something like that
but they can be in&nbsp;many different styles.

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Since my home is fairly new and I’m sharing walls with neighbors,
it’s pretty&nbsp;energy-efficient!

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My average gas bill in the winter is about $70

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and my average electric bill&nbsp;in the summer
(which includes driving by the way since I have an electric car) is about…

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actually&nbsp;that’s just about $70, too.

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Wild what denser housing options and efficient construction methods
can&nbsp;do for our resource needs and thus wallets, eh?

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Before this turns into an&nbsp;urban planning video, though,&nbsp;&nbsp;

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my home’s current heating&nbsp;and cooling system is the&nbsp;
very-typical-for-much-of-the-US-but-especially-here-in-the-Midwest

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centrally-ducted natural gas-fired forced-air furnace with central air conditioning.

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The furnace is rated for 60,000 BTU/hr,
and the air conditioner is a two-ton unit

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(which just&nbsp;means it can produce 24,000 BTU/hr of cooling).

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Now, the air conditioner was actually sized&nbsp;appropriately.

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Based on how last summer went, 
2 tons of cooling is just about right for my&nbsp;home.

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But the furnace?

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It’s way too big!

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The heat barely ever needs to run even in very cold&nbsp;weather.

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It’s almost comical how little my furnace runs.

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Lest you think I’m just being hyperbolic&nbsp;or perhaps unobservant,

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I have a smart thermostat which allows me to look at exactly how long
it&nbsp;has commanded the heating and cooling system to run over a day.

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And I know for a fact that in&nbsp;the winter the heat is barely ever running.

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Here’s what a typical winter day looks like&nbsp;
with my current heating system:

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January 5th was a cloudy day
with the temperature hovering&nbsp;right around freezing point.

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With essentially no help from the sun,
my furnace was providing the&nbsp;only heat to keep me warm and it needed to run for…

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3 hours and 10 minutes total.

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That’s all.

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We see this large spike in the morning when my program raises the set point to 69, 
but otherwise&nbsp;the furnace ru- sorry,

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*nice*

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- but otherwise the furnace runs for about 10 minutes per hour.

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At 10:00 at night my set point drops to 65,

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and then it didn’t run again until the next&nbsp;morning.

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With 24 hours in a day, and the heat only running for 3.16 of them,

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then the furnace only&nbsp;needed to produce about 13% of its total capacity.

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If you know a thing or two about HVAC system&nbsp;design,

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then you should know that this is ridiculous.

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The heating system is oversized&nbsp;to an absurd degree
if it’s performing like that when temps are around freezing.

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But... this is Chicago.

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It gets a lot colder than that.

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How about we look at that cold snap we&nbsp;had two Christmases ago?

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December 23rd, 2022 started out at a balmy -8 degrees
(which is&nbsp;-22 for those who speak Metric).

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Despite it being that frigid, the furnace ran for 6&nbsp;hours total.

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6 hours of 24 is a nice 25%,

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so even in that weather the&nbsp;furnace is barely taxed at all.

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Keen-eyed viewers may notice we don’t see that&nbsp;morning spike in this data -

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I was actually away from home during this period,
so the thermostat was&nbsp; only maintaining 62 degrees (or not-quite 17 celsius) inside.

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That does mean that if&nbsp;it were maintaining my normal set point
it would need to run a bit more, but not much -

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maintaining 62 in this weather is still fighting a 70 degree differential,

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so this is roughly&nbsp;equivalent to if I were home
and the outside temp was 0 Fahrenheit, -18 Celsius.

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Also important, since nobody was home,

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there weren’t any other heating sources in action&nbsp;
like cooking appliances or human bodies to skew this data.

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Zooming out to look at more days, well&nbsp;it turns out that six hours is the most my furnace has ever run in a 24 hour period.

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Since it’s only&nbsp;spending at most ¼ of the time in a day heating, even in extreme cold,

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that suggests the furnace&nbsp;is oversized by a factor of four.

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It’s four times larger than it needs to be.

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But, to account for&nbsp;the lower set-point and the fact that it was “only” -8 out there, 
I’ll fudge that and say that&nbsp;the furnace is oversized by a factor of three.

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Now, I wish I could tell you that my home is some&nbsp;kind of fluke.

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But truthfully, I can’t - I have run across oversized heating equipment
in pretty&nbsp;much every home I have ever been in around here.

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A friend of mine has a furnace which is so&nbsp;ridiculously oversized for their ductwork

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that they can’t even partially close any registers&nbsp;
at all to help balance heat output between rooms

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without the thing tripping out on the high limit&nbsp;safety switch.

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I’m pretty sure that install was a hack job, so I don’t want to put too much weight&nbsp;on it,

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but even respectable, well-known installers in my area are routinely putting way more heating&nbsp;capacity into homes than those homes actually need.

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You might ask, is that really a problem, though?

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So what if you have more heat than you need?

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Well, strictly speaking, it’s usually not a functional&nbsp;problem.

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Oversizing cooling equipment can lead to nasty issues -

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just ask my other friend who&nbsp;has a small two-bedroom
slab-on-grade house built about 20 years ago

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and who just had&nbsp;a well-respected HVAC company conclude that three tons of cooling was appropriate for that&nbsp;little house.

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You bet that sucker short-cycles and can’t dehumidify worth a darn!

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Anyway, with&nbsp;heating equipment, having way more heat on-tap
than is truly necessary doesn’t typically matter,

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especially with gas-fired heating equipment where energy efficiency isn’t impacted by cycle times&nbsp;much if at all.

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When your heat source is gas, installers can get away with being quite sloppy.

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They just have to err on the side of too much heat.

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Nobody’s gonna complain about having too&nbsp;much,

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and older homes which are poorly insulated will need more than newer homes,
so leaning&nbsp;on the high side is generally the safe bet.

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But this habit needs to die.

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We’re not gonna&nbsp;be heating our homes with gas forever.

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Pick whatever reason you’d like, there are plenty.

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Heat pumps are in the news so much these days because they allow us to
capture ambient&nbsp;heat energy from outside, concentrate it, and move it inside.

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That process is so&nbsp;efficient that we can end up with 3 or sometimes even 4 times as much energy inside our homes than we spend to collect it.

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That is why they are such a big deal - it’s a way we&nbsp;
can get more heat with less energy expenditure,

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and doing more with less is always&nbsp;a good idea.

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For that reason alone, more and more people will be using heat pumps
as their primary or possibly only source of heat.

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They just make way too much sense.

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And when&nbsp;speccing a heat pump system,
actually installing the correct equipment with the correct capacity&nbsp;is very important!

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More than it’s ever been.

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Why?

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Well for the simplest of starts, you&nbsp;don’t want to pay for more than you need.

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Larger equipment is more expensive, but not just&nbsp;to purchase it.

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Since heat pumps are electric sources of heating and cooling,
larger systems&nbsp;require more electrical capacity to run them,

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and that makes everything from installation to&nbsp;
considerations of backup power needs harder to&nbsp;manage!

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You really don’t want to be installing&nbsp;systems that are bigger than necessary 
but this old habit just keeps happening.

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It&nbsp;just happened last spring to my parents,
a story I’ll be telling later on in this video.

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Why does this keep happening?

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Well, if&nbsp;you’ll permit me this speculative indulgence,

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I believe that a big problem today is&nbsp;the structure of many HVAC companies.

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Any moderately-sized residential HVAC business&nbsp;
seems to have separated the role of sales from those of service and installation.

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This might&nbsp;seem like a good thing - trained and licensed technicians only have so much time in a day,

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and&nbsp;their skills are too valuable to waste on free consultations.

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But I gotta tell ya, I think this&nbsp;division of roles and focus on speed over accuracy is causing a lot of headaches for everyone.

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Perhaps separating your team into sellers, fixers, and installers is efficient on paper - and&nbsp;maybe it is more profitable.

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But it also makes it difficult or impossible for anyone
within those&nbsp;cordoned-off roles

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to develop the big picture&nbsp;perspectives necessary
to correctly determine the&nbsp;best course of action for any given situation.

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Another problem which is particularly rampant in&nbsp;cold parts of the country like mine where heat pumps aren’t yet common is, well,

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dishonesty.

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See, here’s a secret the industry doesn’t want you to know:

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Despite the cliche, I’m not&nbsp;really joking.

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Those fancy heat pumps we’ve been talking about?

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Turns out, heat pumps …

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ARE JUST AIR CONDITIONERS!

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That’s all they are!

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They’re just air conditioners equipped with&nbsp;an extra valve
so they can operate in reverse to produce heat!

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Shout it from the rooftops, put it on a T-shirt,
annoy your friends, and spread the word.

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They are not magic technology or even&nbsp;new technology!

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They’re the same basic machines these companies have been installing
for well&nbsp;over half a century with a few extra parts and, these days, smarts.

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Everyone in the industry&nbsp;knows this,

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at least I sure hope they do,

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but salespeople wouldn’t be good at their jobs&nbsp;
if all they did was provide you with honest information.

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Price gouging on heat pump systems is&nbsp;abhorrent right now, 
and I have countless stories both personally and from conversations online

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of people getting $20,000 or even $30,000 quotes to install equipment
which you can buy from online HVAC&nbsp;wholesalers for about 4 grand shipped.

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And sure, there’s installation costs - people need to get&nbsp;paid, I know that.

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But there’s some magic money math going on when a central heat pump system&nbsp;
costs 3 or 4 times as much as a new furnace and AC replacement.

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Because the heat pump part&nbsp;IS THE SAME THING as an AC replacement.

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One of the reasons I suspect people are&nbsp;getting such wildly expensive quotes
to install heat pump equipment is that,

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due&nbsp;to the whole separation of duties I just went over
and the old habits which just refuse to die,

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the folks coming out to give consultations are simply looking at the equipment&nbsp;
that’s currently in the home and,

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so long as the homeowner doesn’t voice complaints about&nbsp;its performance,

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speccing a heat pump system to match the current system’s output.

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That is&nbsp;precisely what happened to my friend with the 3-ton AC
in the two-bedroom house.

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A 3-ton&nbsp;was there before so just slap a new one in, right?

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That’ll do.

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This tactic makes sense on the&nbsp;surface,

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but the problem is that seemingly nobody is doing a sanity check to determine whether or&nbsp;not the current equipment is actually appropriate for that home.

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And in my case, nobody&nbsp;did that when the home was built, either!

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Another thing I want to touch on is something&nbsp;that I keep hearing online.

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Many people with centrally-ducted systems who want to get a&nbsp;heat pump
have been told that their ducts are too small to have a heat pump.

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I’m sure that this is&nbsp;true in some cases, but…

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00:16:13,387 --> 00:16:19,630
if the person who told them that didn’t check to see
if their current&nbsp;heating system is actually sized correctly,

211
00:16:19,630 --> 00:16:25,433
well then maybe those ducts are too small for&nbsp;
the heat pump that person *thinks* they need

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00:16:25,433 --> 00:16:29,409
but they’re fine for the heat pump that they *actually* need.

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Keep that in mind as we continue this discussion.

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So, then, the next question of course is…

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how do you&nbsp;determine what’s actually appropriate for any given home?

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00:16:39,871 --> 00:16:42,635
Well, here’s what's really frustrating -

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00:16:42,635 --> 00:16:47,305
We have more and more tools to figure this out and it ain’t that hard.

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00:16:47,305 --> 00:16:53,717
First, let’s&nbsp;discuss the increasingly common piece of tech 
which got this ball rolling in the&nbsp;first place:

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00:16:53,717 --> 00:16:55,566
a smart thermostat.

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00:16:55,566 --> 00:16:58,504
Having one can be extremely valuable.

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00:16:58,504 --> 00:17:05,946
Certainly I’m not&nbsp;going to tell you to rush out and get one
and, also, I’m not particularly loyal to one system over&nbsp;another.

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00:17:05,946 --> 00:17:10,723
Trust me, I get plenty frustrated with some of the asinine things they do -

223
00:17:10,723 --> 00:17:14,868
ask&nbsp;me about their ridiculous implementations of a hold function.

224
00:17:14,868 --> 00:17:16,990
If they even have one.

225
00:17:16,990 --> 00:17:19,481
And&nbsp; while we're at it, Google -

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here’s a question for you:

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00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:28,065
HOW ARE YOUR LOCATION SERVICES AND HOME/AWAY ASSIST FUNCTIONS
**STILL** SO INCREDIBLY BAD‽‽‽

228
00:17:28,065 --> 00:17:33,272
If my Android phone - A Pixel! With your own dang SOC!

229
00:17:33,272 --> 00:17:38,450
On which I have given the Google Home app full,
unrestricted location access

230
00:17:38,450 --> 00:17:41,729
with precise location&nbsp;and WiFi scanning turned on

231
00:17:41,729 --> 00:17:46,350
happens to find itself on the same WiFi network
as the Google Nest thermostat

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00:17:46,350 --> 00:17:49,456
which is WIRED TO MY FURNACE and CAN'T MOVE

233
00:17:49,456 --> 00:17:54,995
oh, AND the phone can also can see all of those
Chromecast-enabled devices on the same network, too,

234
00:17:54,995 --> 00:17:59,757
which you know belong to that home
because the Home app is what manages all that crap,

235
00:17:59,757 --> 00:18:03,311
well then surely I must be home, right?

236
00:18:03,311 --> 00:18:10,201
I can’t have moved a mile or two down the road - in my sleep - with
all that stuff&nbsp;still in-range of the phone, right?

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RIGHT‽

238
00:18:12,267 --> 00:18:14,553
[clears thoat]
Despite their irritations,

239
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a smart&nbsp;thermostat’s ability to log and tell you
what it did over a day throughout the year is tremendously&nbsp;useful.

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That information alone, when combined with your heating system information,

241
00:18:26,499 --> 00:18:31,407
can get you extremely close&nbsp;to the actual heating load of your home.

242
00:18:31,407 --> 00:18:37,004
All you need to do is find a day where it was extremely&nbsp;cold 
and look at how long it ran.

243
00:18:37,004 --> 00:18:41,090
With a simple, single-stage gas-fired centrally-ducted furnace,

244
00:18:41,090 --> 00:18:47,514
how long that furnace runs over a given period of time
tells you how much heating it&nbsp;actually produced.

245
00:18:47,514 --> 00:18:49,362
It’s that simple.

246
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,567
But perhaps you noticed there were some qualifiers&nbsp;there.

247
00:18:52,567 --> 00:18:58,459
Some fancy heating systems can actually run at two output levels, perhaps more.

248
00:18:58,459 --> 00:19:05,459
If you’re&nbsp; in that boat, data from a thermostat isn’t necessarily useless
but it’s going to require&nbsp;more consideration than I can address.

249
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And certain kinds of heating systems won’t necessarily&nbsp;
give you such clean data at all,

250
00:19:12,331 --> 00:19:19,047
plus if you have zoned heating and individual room thermostats this&nbsp;
all gets pretty complicated pretty quickly.

251
00:19:19,047 --> 00:19:25,749
But for many millions of you in North America,
you&nbsp;have the same four-wire thermostat system that I&nbsp;do

252
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which only offers heating with fire,

253
00:19:27,806 --> 00:19:29,278
cooling&nbsp;with AC,

254
00:19:29,278 --> 00:19:30,652
blowing with fan,

255
00:19:30,652 --> 00:19:32,783
or nothing with off.

256
00:19:32,783 --> 00:19:41,606
As we’ve already determined, apparently my heat&nbsp;
will only ever run ⅓ of the time at most in the coldest weather we ever get,

257
00:19:41,606 --> 00:19:47,231
which means&nbsp;I only really need ⅓ of my current heating system's capacity.

258
00:19:47,231 --> 00:19:51,438
Since currently I have 60,000 BTU/hr&nbsp;at my disposal,

259
00:19:51,438 --> 00:19:57,083
my actual heating load appears to be 20,000 BTU/hr at most.

260
00:19:57,083 --> 00:20:04,601
And since heat is&nbsp;heat, we can convert that to a continuous power output of 5.86 kW.

261
00:20:04,601 --> 00:20:09,416
If I’ve done the math&nbsp;right and reality is as it appears to be,

262
00:20:09,416 --> 00:20:14,930
that’s the most heating power I should ever&nbsp;need
to keep the house comfortably warm.

263
00:20:14,930 --> 00:20:21,624
Assuming that is correct, then to completely&nbsp;
eliminate gas for heating I only need a 2-ton heat pump,

264
00:20:21,624 --> 00:20:25,580
which is perfect because that’s what&nbsp;
my air conditioner happens to be.

265
00:20:25,580 --> 00:20:31,941
This is why I said this is gonna be easier for me&nbsp;
than Local HVAC company X probably thinks.

266
00:20:31,941 --> 00:20:38,577
I very much doubt many would believe that a home&nbsp;
in Chicago would have the same cooling needs in summer

267
00:20:38,577 --> 00:20:44,891
as it does heating needs in the winter,
but the data and my&nbsp;math shows this to be true.

268
00:20:44,891 --> 00:20:46,997
But have I done my math right?

269
00:20:46,997 --> 00:20:49,291
Are my assumptions here correct?

270
00:20:49,291 --> 00:20:51,900
There are some reasons to be cautious.

271
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Firstly, while my furnace is rated for 60,000 BTU per&nbsp;hour,
I don’t have a way to confirm that it’s actually performing as-designed.

272
00:21:00,791 --> 00:21:06,951
Hopefully&nbsp;the installers hooked up a manometer to it
and adjusted the gas valve according to the&nbsp;manufacturer’s specifications

273
00:21:06,951 --> 00:21:09,933
but I don’t know for a fact that that occurred.

274
00:21:09,933 --> 00:21:14,995
Even if it did,&nbsp;though, well there are still confounding factors to consider.

275
00:21:14,995 --> 00:21:19,943
For one, the 60,000 BTU rating&nbsp;on my furnace is its input.

276
00:21:19,943 --> 00:21:29,766
With an annual fuel utilization efficiency of 92 percent,&nbsp;
it’s only really outputting 55,200 BTU/hr when it runs.

277
00:21:29,766 --> 00:21:34,740
If anything that makes my math seem&nbsp;conservative, but it’s important to keep in mind.

278
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There are also two other minor sources of&nbsp;data fuzziness
which reduce the accuracy of a data-logging thermostat.

279
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If you’ve ever&nbsp;noticed that your gas meter measures the gas flowing through it in a unit of volume but you’re&nbsp;billed for your gas consumption in units of energy,

280
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that’s because natural gas is just some crap&nbsp;we get out of the ground
and its purity (and thus energy content)

281
00:21:58,638 --> 00:22:03,962
varies somewhat from&nbsp;day to day which your gas utility corrects for when billing you.

282
00:22:03,962 --> 00:22:12,513
So even if I knew for a&nbsp;fact that my furnace were working perfectly, its actual heat output won’t be perfectly&nbsp;consistent.

283
00:22:12,513 --> 00:22:21,909
Also, the thermostat logs how long it calls for heat, but at every start-up,&nbsp;
there’s a delay while the furnace goes through&nbsp;its ignition sequence

284
00:22:21,909 --> 00:22:26,298
so the thermostat is&nbsp;slightly overreporting total energy output.

285
00:22:26,298 --> 00:22:31,602
Now, to be clear,
all these little sources of&nbsp;error are unlikely to amount to much,

286
00:22:31,602 --> 00:22:34,401
and two of them work in my favor anyway.

287
00:22:34,401 --> 00:22:41,028
But it does&nbsp;mean that my 20,000 BTU/hr conclusion probably isn’t perfect.

288
00:22:41,028 --> 00:22:44,966
I still know my furnace is wildly&nbsp;oversized no matter what,

289
00:22:44,966 --> 00:22:49,602
but for now, let’s set the conclusions from the thermostat to the side.

290
00:22:49,602 --> 00:22:54,254
That’ll also make it fair for those of you without central heating
or more elaborate setups.

291
00:22:54,254 --> 00:22:58,230
How else&nbsp;could you determine your actual heating needs?

292
00:22:58,230 --> 00:23:00,764
Why, with science!

293
00:23:00,764 --> 00:23:06,528
It’s time I introduce you to&nbsp;a little thing called a block load calculation.

294
00:23:06,528 --> 00:23:13,465
Turns out, very few homes are built&nbsp;with exotic materials - 
and even then, with almost no exceptions

295
00:23:13,465 --> 00:23:18,498
we know the thermal&nbsp;properties of the construction materials we use to build homes.

296
00:23:18,498 --> 00:23:22,774
Insulation has an R-value&nbsp;which tells you its resistance to heat transfer.

297
00:23:22,774 --> 00:23:30,404
Windows have R-values, too - plus low-e coatings&nbsp;
help reduce solar heating in the summer and reduce radiant losses in the winter.

298
00:23:30,404 --> 00:23:37,655
The materials&nbsp;on the exterior of the home have an influence, too - an influence which those science people&nbsp;have quantified.

299
00:23:37,655 --> 00:23:46,566
And to tie this all together we have these tools called 
measuring&nbsp;tapes which let us gauge the size of walls and windows.

300
00:23:46,566 --> 00:23:50,520
If you actually take&nbsp;the time to assess these variables,

301
00:23:50,520 --> 00:24:00,274
you can do a load calculation which will&nbsp;tell you how much heating (and cooling)
your home actually needs depending on&nbsp;where you live and how it was built.

302
00:24:00,274 --> 00:24:04,296
For grins and giggles, I went and did one of these&nbsp;for my home!

303
00:24:04,296 --> 00:24:07,124
I used an online Manual-J calculator

304
00:24:07,124 --> 00:24:12,395
(manual-J is essentially the industry standard&nbsp;
for how to do a block load calculation)

305
00:24:12,395 --> 00:24:16,598
and after inputting all my measurements,
it told me that&nbsp;I’d need…

306
00:24:16,598 --> 00:24:24,461
19,000 BTU/hr of heating
with a design temperature of -15 and an indoor setpoint of&nbsp;70 degrees.

307
00:24:24,461 --> 00:24:28,638
That’s awful-darn close to what my thermostat just told me, innit?

308
00:24:29,411 --> 00:24:36,073
Now, you may notice I&nbsp;have not shown you the results of this calculation
(or even the calculation itself).

309
00:24:36,073 --> 00:24:44,310
That’s because I don’t really want to share too many details of my home’s&nbsp;specifications but also and equally importantly…

310
00:24:44,310 --> 00:24:47,242
I closed out the tab and don’t feel like doing it&nbsp;again.

311
00:24:47,242 --> 00:24:55,288
Plus, the site I used was very clunky and homebrew, 
and to be honest I’m kind of afraid of&nbsp;unleashing all of you on it.

312
00:24:55,288 --> 00:24:57,685
It seemed… fragile.

313
00:24:57,685 --> 00:25:04,923
I’d love to point you all to a good resource&nbsp;
but honestly the way the calculation is performed is pretty intimidating,

314
00:25:04,923 --> 00:25:11,540
especially if you&nbsp;have the same visceral dread reaction
that I do whenever I accidentally open Excel.

315
00:25:11,540 --> 00:25:16,864
A more easy-to-use and guided manual-J calculator would be a very welcome thing,

316
00:25:16,864 --> 00:25:22,194
literally any of you watching who might have those skills
and be inclined to build&nbsp;such a tool.

317
00:25:22,194 --> 00:25:24,429
I think, as the kids say,

318
00:25:24,429 --> 00:25:26,981
there should be an app for that.

319
00:25:26,981 --> 00:25:33,583
I’d love to play&nbsp;with it but more importantly,
an easy-to-use tool for professionals in the field is very overdue.

320
00:25:33,583 --> 00:25:36,412
It has to be easy or it just won’t happen.

321
00:25:36,412 --> 00:25:40,833
You may have noticed me use the term design&nbsp;temperature just a bit ago.

322
00:25:40,833 --> 00:25:46,853
Heating a home (or any structure for that matter)
is a never-ending&nbsp;battle against heat loss.

323
00:25:46,853 --> 00:25:51,214
If it’s warmer inside than out, heat will seep out through walls and&nbsp;windows.

324
00:25:51,214 --> 00:25:53,679
Entropy’s just annoying like that.

325
00:25:53,679 --> 00:25:57,661
And to maintain a consistently warmer temperature&nbsp;inside than out,

326
00:25:57,661 --> 00:26:01,964
you have to match that heat loss with a source of replacement heat.

327
00:26:01,964 --> 00:26:07,086
How&nbsp;quickly your home loses heat
depends on all those factors I was talking about earlier,

328
00:26:07,086 --> 00:26:11,078
so one&nbsp;size definitely does not fit all.

329
00:26:11,078 --> 00:26:14,720
If there’s one thing to take away from this video, it’s that.

330
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:18,041
But there is one factor that is universal:

331
00:26:18,041 --> 00:26:23,308
the greater the temperature difference between inside&nbsp;
and outside, the faster heat will leave.

332
00:26:23,308 --> 00:26:29,552
Doesn’t matter how big the home is or how well-insulated&nbsp;it is,
that’s just physics doing physics things.

333
00:26:29,552 --> 00:26:33,468
Ultimately, that boils down to a simple&nbsp;temperature differential.

334
00:26:33,468 --> 00:26:41,401
A given heating system in a given home can only possibly&nbsp;
make the indoor temperature X degrees warmer than the outdoor temperature.

335
00:26:41,401 --> 00:26:49,472
The design&nbsp;temperatures are simply a way to relate that theoretical limit
to your local weather&nbsp;conditions and a chosen indoor setpoint,

336
00:26:49,472 --> 00:26:55,218
so for instance around here,
-15 Fahrenheit&nbsp;is about the coldest we ever experience,

337
00:26:55,218 --> 00:27:00,551
and if I want to be able to maintain 
a 70&nbsp;degree indoor temperature in those conditions,

338
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,714
well those are my design temperatures.

339
00:27:02,714 --> 00:27:06,281
-15&nbsp;outdoors and 70 indoors.

340
00:27:06,281 --> 00:27:13,395
Really, though, that just means I want enough heat on-tap
to keep&nbsp;the home 85 degrees warmer inside than outside.

341
00:27:13,395 --> 00:27:17,683
And here’s something I get the sense&nbsp;relatively few people know.

342
00:27:17,683 --> 00:27:23,793
When a heating system is properly sized to a given&nbsp;home 
and its chosen design temperatures,

343
00:27:23,793 --> 00:27:31,846
then when we hit those design temps outside,&nbsp;
the heating system will need to run nonstop - and that is normal.

344
00:27:31,846 --> 00:27:34,535
It might sound weird.&nbsp;But think about it -

345
00:27:34,535 --> 00:27:40,179
the design temperatures are the absolute worst conditions
a&nbsp;heating system should expect to fight,

346
00:27:40,179 --> 00:27:43,541
and they only show up once or twice a year -&nbsp;if that.

347
00:27:43,541 --> 00:27:50,751
There isn’t actually a need to have any more heat capacity available
than what the&nbsp;design temperatures dictate -

348
00:27:50,751 --> 00:27:55,137
especially when, even if the weather
happens to dip below&nbsp;the design temp,

349
00:27:55,137 --> 00:28:01,991
a wide variety of simple supplemental heat sources,
such as space&nbsp;heaters, is available for you to fill the gap.

350
00:28:01,991 --> 00:28:08,404
That means, though, that there is at least one&nbsp;true benefit
to oversizing a heating system.

351
00:28:08,404 --> 00:28:12,777
If you’re like me and like to turn the heat down at&nbsp;night to sleep a little cooler,

352
00:28:12,777 --> 00:28:21,210
a properly-sized heating system will take ages to get back to your daytime setpoint when the weather hits its design conditions.

353
00:28:21,210 --> 00:28:27,195
I’m of the mind that since&nbsp;this is a very uncommon circumstance over a year,
that’s not really a problem.

354
00:28:27,195 --> 00:28:36,094
But some folks would&nbsp;probably be angry if they needed to whip out an extra heater in a cold snap to get the indoor&nbsp;temperature to rise quickly in the morning.

355
00:28:36,094 --> 00:28:41,634
This is undoubtedly another reason HVAC companies&nbsp;
are prone to going overboard,

356
00:28:41,634 --> 00:28:45,755
and some manner of customer education is probably warranted here.

357
00:28:45,755 --> 00:28:52,109
The good news is that with heat pump systems,
auxiliary back-up heating can be and often is&nbsp;installed

358
00:28:52,109 --> 00:28:59,306
and that can work alongside the heat pump to quickly raise the temperature when&nbsp;desired, at least if configured properly.

359
00:28:59,306 --> 00:29:05,579
Anyway, we now have two sources of data
that are&nbsp;telling me the furnace is about triple oversized.

360
00:29:05,579 --> 00:29:10,515
There’s what my thermostat has said
with all&nbsp;of the home’s variables accounted for in-situ,

361
00:29:10,515 --> 00:29:15,771
and what the manual J calculation
(which&nbsp;accounts for all those variables on paper) determined.

362
00:29:15,771 --> 00:29:22,771
The fact that they were within&nbsp;5% of each other is pretty impressive,
but both are still not quite what I’d&nbsp;call perfect.

363
00:29:22,771 --> 00:29:28,548
To completely verify them, I wanted a way to be exact.

364
00:29:28,548 --> 00:29:34,368
No fudge factor,&nbsp;no guesswork, no weird variables - exact.

365
00:29:34,368 --> 00:29:37,550
And I knew just the trick!

366
00:29:37,550 --> 00:29:39,770
Through the&nbsp;magic of buying...

367
00:29:39,770 --> 00:29:44,003
[sigh]
seven space heaters, I could design a test

368
00:29:44,003 --> 00:29:51,057
to find out exactly&nbsp;how much energy is needed
to heat my home in the most extreme of weather.

369
00:29:51,057 --> 00:29:57,389
All I&nbsp;needed now was a bunch of kill-a-watts,
digital thermostatic controls, and&nbsp;some extreme weather.

370
00:29:57,389 --> 00:29:59,890
So I got some digital thermostatic controls,

371
00:29:59,890 --> 00:30:01,217
a bunch of&nbsp;kill-a-watts,

372
00:30:01,217 --> 00:30:05,216
and eventually the ol’ Polar Vortex turned up in the forecast.

373
00:30:05,216 --> 00:30:09,804
On January&nbsp;14th we were in for quite the arctic blast.

374
00:30:09,804 --> 00:30:14,940
And I do mean quite the - low temperatures of -15&nbsp;were predicted

375
00:30:14,940 --> 00:30:17,169
(that’s -26 for the French)

376
00:30:17,169 --> 00:30:20,307
and that’s just about as cold as it ever gets here.

377
00:30:20,307 --> 00:30:22,313
So&nbsp;I set to work.

378
00:30:22,313 --> 00:30:26,019
And now - here comes an important disclaimer.

379
00:30:26,019 --> 00:30:30,728
I will not show you exactly how I&nbsp;set this test up.

380
00:30:30,728 --> 00:30:34,916
I’ll explain the gist and go over the many considerations I had to make,

381
00:30:34,916 --> 00:30:43,525
but I took&nbsp;a number of fairly big risks performing this test
which could have ended up with frozen pipes or even&nbsp;a fire.

382
00:30:43,525 --> 00:30:50,520
I did everything I could to stay safe, and am happy to report 
that nothing happened&nbsp;but some good ol’ fashioned data gathering.

383
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:53,987
But, do not try this yourself.

384
00:30:53,987 --> 00:30:57,240
It may not even&nbsp;be possible depending on your home’s wiring.

385
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,177
So… why use space heaters?

386
00:31:01,177 --> 00:31:05,114
Well, electric&nbsp;resistive heat is as dumb as it gets.

387
00:31:05,114 --> 00:31:12,795
A watt is a watt is a watt, and with a watt-hour&nbsp;meter I can quantify
how much heat was actually produced by one of these things

388
00:31:12,795 --> 00:31:18,424
because the heater simply turns all of the electricity it consumes into heat.

389
00:31:18,424 --> 00:31:23,927
Space heaters here in the US are nearly&nbsp;all capable of outputting 1,500 watts of heat.

390
00:31:23,927 --> 00:31:32,139
And since apparently I don’t even need 6 kW of&nbsp;heat output,
four of them running continuously should be all that I need to heat my home

391
00:31:32,139 --> 00:31:35,159
even in&nbsp;the worst weather we ever experience.

392
00:31:35,159 --> 00:31:37,254
But there are a few problems:

393
00:31:37,254 --> 00:31:42,077
first, I have more than four&nbsp;locations I need heat to come from.

394
00:31:42,077 --> 00:31:47,017
I have 10 heat registers around the home
and they were all placed&nbsp;where they were for good reason,

395
00:31:47,017 --> 00:31:49,777
though a couple are technically redundant.

396
00:31:49,777 --> 00:31:58,602
Second, while space&nbsp;heaters are rated for 1,500W,
that rating usually assumes a line voltage of 125V.

397
00:31:58,602 --> 00:32:05,454
I typically&nbsp;get a little less than 120V at my receptacles,
and after the bit of voltage drop caused by the&nbsp;heater itself,

398
00:32:05,454 --> 00:32:11,454
in my home the actual output of a resistive space heater 
tends to be around 1300&nbsp;watts.

399
00:32:11,454 --> 00:32:15,087
So only having four might not be enough.

400
00:32:15,087 --> 00:32:17,459
But most importantly to setting up the test,

401
00:32:17,459 --> 00:32:24,224
a space&nbsp;heater maxes out the safe continuous load capacity 
of an ordinary 15A electrical circuit,

402
00:32:24,224 --> 00:32:30,053
and even&nbsp;20A circuits cannot run
two space heaters at the same time without the breaker tripping.

403
00:32:30,053 --> 00:32:39,040
So before&nbsp;I could run this test, I would need to identify locations
where I could actually plug all these space&nbsp;heaters in which were not sharing circuits.

404
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,272
This was easy enough for me to figure out...

405
00:32:41,272 --> 00:32:46,420
after discovering that one of the outlets in the garage
is on the same circuit as the bonus&nbsp;room the hard way,

406
00:32:46,420 --> 00:32:52,894
and I eventually identified five places where I could get power from
and not&nbsp;worry about tripping anything.

407
00:32:52,894 --> 00:32:56,481
But it still required the use of extension cords.

408
00:32:56,481 --> 00:32:58,606
♫ DUN DUN DUNNNNNN ♫

409
00:32:58,606 --> 00:33:02,126
Extension cords and space heaters‽

410
00:33:02,126 --> 00:33:03,534
Oh even worse!

411
00:33:03,534 --> 00:33:06,272
Remember how I bought seven space&nbsp;heaters?

412
00:33:06,272 --> 00:33:08,142
That’s more than five.

413
00:33:08,142 --> 00:33:13,515
And actually I already had two and was using nine during the&nbsp;test!

414
00:33:13,515 --> 00:33:18,504
Which meant that splitters and power strips were involved, too!

415
00:33:18,504 --> 00:33:23,799
I wasn’t kidding when I said&nbsp;I took some big risks
and said you shouldn’t do this yourself.

416
00:33:23,799 --> 00:33:25,518
So let me just say that again -

417
00:33:25,518 --> 00:33:28,237
do not do this yourself!

418
00:33:28,237 --> 00:33:31,983
But what sort of space heaters did you use, I hear you asking?

419
00:33:31,983 --> 00:33:35,111
Well&nbsp;- the cheapest kind you can buy!

420
00:33:35,111 --> 00:33:42,760
And not just because I’m a cheapskate, but because
these are&nbsp;actually the best kind for simply heating a room for a test like this.

421
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,417
The fan churns up the air to mix it around well

422
00:33:45,417 --> 00:33:53,120
and the resistive wire elements don’t produce much radiant heat so you don’t
have to worry about&nbsp;weird hot spots or losses through a window.

423
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:58,160
But even better, these cheap fellas are really&nbsp;useful
given the constraints I had to work with

424
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:02,260
and helped reduce the risks of a fire from those&nbsp;extension cords.

425
00:34:02,260 --> 00:34:09,844
These basic fan-forced heaters usually contain two heating elements:
a 600W&nbsp;element and a 900W element.

426
00:34:09,844 --> 00:34:17,432
That allows them to offer a low, medium 
(labeled "ECO" in this&nbsp;case because space heater manufactsss… nevermind)

427
00:34:17,432 --> 00:34:21,982
and high by using one, the other,&nbsp;or both elements together.

428
00:34:21,982 --> 00:34:28,648
Since the fan draws a measly 10 watts,
that means you can safely&nbsp;use two of these on the same circuit

429
00:34:28,648 --> 00:34:33,827
assuming they are both on low
or one is on low and the&nbsp;other is on medium.

430
00:34:33,827 --> 00:34:37,902
And since, in that case, the most one will draw is about 8 amps,

431
00:34:37,902 --> 00:34:41,195
using an extension cord isn’t quite so scary.

432
00:34:41,195 --> 00:34:44,814
But actually I used two more space heaters!

433
00:34:44,814 --> 00:34:46,174
Of&nbsp;a sort...

434
00:34:46,174 --> 00:34:52,506
Since I was shutting my heating system entirely off,
there were two more things I had&nbsp;to worry about:

435
00:34:52,506 --> 00:34:58,403
the pipes in the cabinet under the kitchen sink
(which is on an outside wall and&nbsp;above the unconditioned garage)

436
00:34:58,403 --> 00:35:02,541
and the insulated crawlspace where my water comes into the home.

437
00:35:02,541 --> 00:35:09,913
Normally those areas get a bit of heat from the ducts running near or through them,
but they&nbsp;wouldn’t during the test.

438
00:35:09,913 --> 00:35:13,276
So, I bought a couple of those little wireless weather stations

439
00:35:13,276 --> 00:35:18,444
and&nbsp;put their outdoor sensors in said crawlspace
and under said sink so I could monitor them,

440
00:35:18,444 --> 00:35:21,155
and to provide those areas with a bit of heat,

441
00:35:21,155 --> 00:35:23,949
I threw in some incandescent Christmas lights.

442
00:35:23,949 --> 00:35:28,118
Who says you can’t be risky and festive at the same time?

443
00:35:28,118 --> 00:35:34,513
Those lights provided about 100&nbsp;watts of heat in the crawlspace
and 80-ish under the kitchen sink,

444
00:35:34,513 --> 00:35:37,744
and the weather station&nbsp;thingies proved that was sufficient.

445
00:35:37,744 --> 00:35:45,206
Now, every single one of these heat-producing&nbsp;devices
eventually got plugged into one of five... these things:

446
00:35:45,206 --> 00:35:50,026
these digital temperature controllers&nbsp;
allowed me to control the temperature digitally.

447
00:35:50,026 --> 00:35:56,429
They simply take readings from their remote&nbsp;sensing probes
 and control the electrical outlet on the front through a relay.

448
00:35:56,429 --> 00:36:00,761
You tell it&nbsp;a turn-on temperature and a turn-off temperature and boom!

449
00:36:00,761 --> 00:36:06,149
You’ve got yourself a proper&nbsp;thermostat which can
~supposedly~ handle 15A of load.

450
00:36:06,149 --> 00:36:08,207
But 16 in Europe!

451
00:36:08,207 --> 00:36:10,149
Yet only 10 in&nbsp;Australia.

452
00:36:10,149 --> 00:36:12,398
But 13 in the UK!

453
00:36:13,211 --> 00:36:18,999
Are there any safety certifications on - that’s not important,&nbsp;
what’s important is the house didn’t burn down

454
00:36:18,999 --> 00:36:21,876
and these allowed me to control the space&nbsp;heaters...

455
00:36:21,876 --> 00:36:24,603
and Christmas lights with precision!

456
00:36:24,603 --> 00:36:29,681
For the test, to hopefully mimic the heating&nbsp;characteristics of my central system,

457
00:36:29,681 --> 00:36:33,732
I put the actual space heaters near to&nbsp;where the heat registers in my home are

458
00:36:33,732 --> 00:36:38,714
(which is along outside walls near windows&nbsp;and doors as they should be.
They got that part right!).

459
00:36:38,714 --> 00:36:43,451
Then I set the temperature&nbsp;controllers up
in the five locations I was powering everything from

460
00:36:43,451 --> 00:36:49,139
and positioned&nbsp;their sensing probes in central areas of each room
away from the heaters.

461
00:36:49,139 --> 00:36:51,762
And,&nbsp;of course (and of utmost importance),

462
00:36:51,762 --> 00:36:59,058
each one of those was plugged into an energy&nbsp;monitor
so I could see how much energy was used by each set of heaters.

463
00:36:59,058 --> 00:37:04,697
Total them all up over&nbsp;24 hours and I could get a near-perfect figure.

464
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:08,370
In pursuit of that perfection, the night&nbsp;before the test began,

465
00:37:08,370 --> 00:37:15,240
I observed the measured temperature of each controller 
both&nbsp;when my furnace began heating and then stopped,

466
00:37:15,240 --> 00:37:20,174
then I programmed the controllers to keep the&nbsp;rooms they were in
within that same temperature&nbsp;band.

467
00:37:20,174 --> 00:37:26,720
I did this to mimic the little room-to-room&nbsp;variations
that naturally occur due to the system being centralized.

468
00:37:26,720 --> 00:37:34,678
And for good measure, I&nbsp;had some of my trusty data loggers set up to verify for you that the heaters were actually&nbsp;doing their job.

469
00:37:34,678 --> 00:37:42,480
Oh, I also put one outside to measure the outdoor air temperature for myself in&nbsp;addition to pulling data from Weather Underground.

470
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:49,545
With the final setup, I had somewhere in&nbsp;the neighborhood of 
6,500 watts of heat&nbsp;distributed throughout my home.

471
00:37:49,545 --> 00:37:53,873
Based both on&nbsp;my thermostat data and the manual J calculation,

472
00:37:53,873 --> 00:38:00,435
this should not only be enough to keep&nbsp;everything warm,
but the heaters shouldn’t even need to run nonstop.

473
00:38:00,435 --> 00:38:05,061
All that was left now was to wake up the next day and start the test.

474
00:38:05,061 --> 00:38:08,775
At 8:00 AM,&nbsp;the observed temperature outside was -11,

475
00:38:08,775 --> 00:38:15,680
and after resetting all of the energy monitors,
it&nbsp;was time to switch on the heaters and switch off the furnace.

476
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:19,857
Before long, the temperature&nbsp;controllers had all started turning on their heaters

477
00:38:19,857 --> 00:38:24,520
(and Christmas lights)
and&nbsp;now, all that was left to do was watch.

478
00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:32,663
And, as expected, despite it being extremely&nbsp;unpleasant outside
(and pretty windy, too) the heaters were more than enough.

479
00:38:32,663 --> 00:38:38,895
Before&nbsp;long, the first temperature controller was satisfied 
and the heaters it controlled had shut&nbsp;off.

480
00:38:38,895 --> 00:38:40,557
Then the next one.

481
00:38:40,557 --> 00:38:42,112
And then the next one.

482
00:38:42,112 --> 00:38:48,513
Of course, they kicked back on, too, but the fact that&nbsp;
the heaters were sufficient to raise the indoor temperature -

483
00:38:48,513 --> 00:38:52,138
even when the outside temp was 80&nbsp;degrees colder than inside

484
00:38:52,138 --> 00:38:54,183
- was very good news.

485
00:38:54,183 --> 00:38:58,175
However, when I began this test, the sun was&nbsp;up.

486
00:38:58,175 --> 00:39:05,095
The one consolation we typically get here
when the arctic blasts rear their ugly heads is&nbsp;that the sky tends to be cloudless,

487
00:39:05,095 --> 00:39:09,815
so it may be life-threateningly cold out there but hey!
At least it’s a bright&nbsp;sunny day!

488
00:39:09,815 --> 00:39:16,956
This also meant I’d be getting a bit of solar heating, though, 
and where exactly I’d&nbsp;get it would vary throughout the day.

489
00:39:16,956 --> 00:39:21,985
This didn’t matter for the data - I was taking measurements&nbsp;
from each energy monitor every four hours,

490
00:39:21,985 --> 00:39:24,995
so I could remove the daytime period if desired.

491
00:39:24,995 --> 00:39:32,409
But it&nbsp;did mean that I had to fiddle a lot with the setup - 
especially on the main floor which is mostly one&nbsp;big room.

492
00:39:32,409 --> 00:39:40,407
Two thermostats and their heaters were in that room on opposite sides,
and that meant&nbsp;that they’d fairly often influence each other in odd ways.

493
00:39:40,407 --> 00:39:44,596
Eventually, with some adjustments&nbsp;to the set points, I got them to cooperate.

494
00:39:44,596 --> 00:39:47,613
But then, night fell.

495
00:39:47,613 --> 00:39:50,967
With no more sun coming&nbsp;through the windows, what would happen?

496
00:39:50,967 --> 00:39:53,132
Would the heaters be enough?

497
00:39:53,986 --> 00:39:55,298
Yes. They were.

498
00:39:55,298 --> 00:40:02,531
The two on&nbsp;the main level did need to run nearly continuously
but the heaters upstairs were cycling on and off all night -

499
00:40:02,531 --> 00:40:06,910
by my rough estimation they were only on about 60% of the time.

500
00:40:06,910 --> 00:40:11,451
Oh but wait, I don't need any rough estimation,
I know exactly how much energy was used during the test!

501
00:40:11,451 --> 00:40:14,029
And&nbsp;the answer was - drumroll please

502
00:40:14,029 --> 00:40:14,854
[extremely brief drumroll]

503
00:40:14,854 --> 00:40:23,293
110.76 kWh, representing an average power draw of only&nbsp;4.61 kW.

504
00:40:23,293 --> 00:40:25,260
Excluding the daytime hours,

505
00:40:25,260 --> 00:40:30,468
from 8PM to 8AM the heaters drew 61.38 kWh

506
00:40:30,468 --> 00:40:39,020
representing an&nbsp;average draw of 5.115 kW, or 17,452 BTU/hr.

507
00:40:39,020 --> 00:40:45,496
That timeframe was also long after I had made dinner&nbsp;
so no additional sources of heat were present.

508
00:40:45,496 --> 00:40:54,340
According to my probe the outdoor air temperature&nbsp;was between -9 and -11 degrees, which matches nicely to the data gathered at O’Hare.

509
00:40:54,340 --> 00:40:59,584
This&nbsp;means our Manual-J calculation was only 1,500 BTUs/hr off,

510
00:40:59,584 --> 00:41:04,730
but since the test occurred with&nbsp;outdoor temps
just a little higher than my design temperatures,

511
00:41:04,730 --> 00:41:07,440
I mean I’m gonna call that spot-on.

512
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,748
Whaddya know, science works!

513
00:41:09,748 --> 00:41:11,309
Spread the word!

514
00:41:11,309 --> 00:41:13,937
And here is what the indoor probes show&nbsp;us.

515
00:41:13,937 --> 00:41:17,093
This probe was placed next to my home’s thermostat.

516
00:41:17,093 --> 00:41:22,292
During the day, the moving&nbsp;sun
and all my fiddling to deal with that caused this dip here

517
00:41:22,292 --> 00:41:30,028
but after the sun set the&nbsp;measured temperature was right smack dab in the middle
of what the thermostat and furnace normally&nbsp;maintains.

518
00:41:30,028 --> 00:41:34,606
And in the other two rooms we see the same thing - in fact it’s even more consistent.

519
00:41:34,606 --> 00:41:42,175
Also note that I did not adjust the thermostats overnight - 
they nicely maintained 69 degrees&nbsp;all night long.

520
00:41:42,175 --> 00:41:47,396
So - given that a real-world, actual test with actual data just occurred,

521
00:41:47,396 --> 00:41:59,440
I&nbsp;can state confidently that just a hair over 5 kW is in fact the actual amount of heating output&nbsp;I need to keep my home comfortable in any weather condition

522
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:06,339
which verifies both what my thermostat&nbsp;was telling me
and what a Manual-J block load calculation determined.

523
00:42:06,339 --> 00:42:12,213
So sure enough, my furnace&nbsp;is more than three times larger than it needs to be.

524
00:42:12,675 --> 00:42:16,536
That is objectively silly, but it’s excellent news.

525
00:42:16,536 --> 00:42:22,910
Because&nbsp;I’m in a townhome which was built
assuming everything that could be gas would be gas, even the dryer,

526
00:42:22,910 --> 00:42:25,969
I&nbsp;only have 100A electrical service.

527
00:42:25,969 --> 00:42:32,910
Many folks would consider that an insurmountable barrier&nbsp;to electrification
(although, as I’ve already covered, there are many ways around that).

528
00:42:32,910 --> 00:42:39,910
But in&nbsp;my case, well now I know that the circuit for my two-ton air conditioner
is probably sufficient for&nbsp;the two-ton heat pump I’ll need,

529
00:42:39,910 --> 00:42:46,266
and for backup resistive heat, I only really need 5 kW available.

530
00:42:46,266 --> 00:42:50,975
That by itself would be sufficient to at least maintain a reasonable set point,

531
00:42:50,975 --> 00:42:55,816
but in a modern&nbsp;heat pump system the heat strips
and the heat pump will work together,

532
00:42:55,816 --> 00:43:02,570
so I’ll probably have at least&nbsp;7 or 8 kW of total heat output whenever I need it,
which is more than enough.

533
00:43:02,570 --> 00:43:06,569
To be clear, it’s&nbsp;not like ditching gas will be painless for me.

534
00:43:06,569 --> 00:43:17,027
I’ll still need to run a new circuit to the&nbsp;furnace closet to have backup electric heat,
but 5kW of heat strips is only a 20 amp&nbsp;load which makes it much more manageable.

535
00:43:17,434 --> 00:43:20,795
"mmmbut what about the ductwork?"
I hear some of you&nbsp;asking.

536
00:43:20,795 --> 00:43:28,980
Since you used space heaters during your test and shut off the furnace, you couldn’t&nbsp;account for any losses from leakage in your&nbsp;ducting!

537
00:43:28,980 --> 00:43:32,093
Ah, that's very good point, except

538
00:43:32,093 --> 00:43:33,187
no it isn't.

539
00:43:33,187 --> 00:43:36,154
I&nbsp;don’t have any losses to account for.

540
00:43:36,154 --> 00:43:38,016
Why, you ask?

541
00:43:38,016 --> 00:43:41,097
Fair warning, I’m about to get snarky!

542
00:43:41,463 --> 00:43:43,954
See, I am a&nbsp;Midwesterner

543
00:43:43,954 --> 00:43:48,206
and I live in a home that was built by my fellow value-obsessed Midwesterners.

544
00:43:48,206 --> 00:43:55,937
And ya know&nbsp;what value-obsessed Midwesterners would never in a million years consider doing when designing&nbsp;a home’s heating system?

545
00:43:56,262 --> 00:44:00,414
Running its ductwork through an attic or a crawlspace.

546
00:44:00,414 --> 00:44:02,546
And ya know&nbsp;why we wouldn't do that?

547
00:44:02,546 --> 00:44:04,782
Because that makes no effin’ sense!

548
00:44:05,107 --> 00:44:10,500
OK sure, you’ll find that occasionally around here -&nbsp;
sometimes compromises have to be made

549
00:44:10,500 --> 00:44:13,415
particularly when, like, doing additions or remodeling.

550
00:44:13,415 --> 00:44:16,214
But ya know where my ducts are?

551
00:44:16,214 --> 00:44:19,197
They’re inside the conditioned&nbsp;envelope!

552
00:44:19,197 --> 00:44:23,338
They go through wall and floor cavities all in the center of the structure,

553
00:44:23,338 --> 00:44:26,575
not once&nbsp;ever going above the ceiling into the attic,

554
00:44:26,575 --> 00:44:28,720
below the floor into a crawlspace

555
00:44:28,720 --> 00:44:30,576
or through outside walls.

556
00:44:30,576 --> 00:44:35,527
So, any heat that&nbsp;might leak out of them ends up where I want it anyway!

557
00:44:35,527 --> 00:44:38,143
It’s wild! Did you know you could do&nbsp;that?

558
00:44:38,143 --> 00:44:40,597
I know that some builders sure don’t.

559
00:44:40,597 --> 00:44:48,835
This may come as a surprise, but it turns out that if&nbsp;you put ALL the heaty cooly bits
inside the place that you're paying money to heat or cool,

560
00:44:48,835 --> 00:44:52,630
you get ALL&nbsp;of your money’s worth and not just most of it.

561
00:44:52,630 --> 00:44:56,110
And if you’re thinking
“oh, well he’s in&nbsp;the Midwest, he’s gonna have a basement” -

562
00:44:56,110 --> 00:44:59,372
get a load of this - I don’t have a basement!

563
00:44:59,372 --> 00:45:02,967
My home is&nbsp;slab-on-grade, so my furnace is just in this room!

564
00:45:02,967 --> 00:45:04,797
It’s in this closet!

565
00:45:04,797 --> 00:45:08,629
Just because you don’t have&nbsp;a basement
doesn’t mean it has to go in the attic - or a crawlspace.

566
00:45:08,629 --> 00:45:10,415
It never has to go there!

567
00:45:10,415 --> 00:45:14,574
It&nbsp;could just be here, inside your home, in a closet in a room

568
00:45:14,574 --> 00:45:17,862
and all the ducts it feeds can stay&nbsp;inside your home, too!

569
00:45:18,187 --> 00:45:25,815
This has always been an option and all it takes
is planning a space for this&nbsp;stuff to live and not making it an afterthought.

570
00:45:25,815 --> 00:45:32,249
I feel so sorry for HVAC technicians in parts of the&nbsp;country 
where you stuff all this crap in an attic.

571
00:45:32,249 --> 00:45:37,372
Crawling through a little access hatch and tiptoeing&nbsp;
on the joists just to read an error code -

572
00:45:37,372 --> 00:45:39,739
it could be just… right here!

573
00:45:39,739 --> 00:45:44,853
Easily accessible in a&nbsp;utility closet
that's barely any bigger than your average bedroom closet.

574
00:45:44,853 --> 00:45:47,157
My water heater’s even&nbsp;in here!

575
00:45:47,157 --> 00:45:52,008
And guess what? If my AC drain clogs, it ain’t gonna ruin the ceiling.

576
00:45:52,008 --> 00:45:54,264
It’ll just&nbsp;puddle its way to the floor drain.

577
00:45:54,264 --> 00:45:56,022
Imagine that!

578
00:45:56,022 --> 00:45:57,739
And ya know what really gets me?

579
00:45:57,739 --> 00:46:03,390
This article&nbsp;on the Department of Energy website
makes it sound like this is some kinda revolutionary idea!

580
00:46:03,390 --> 00:46:08,611
“In recent years, energy-saving designs have sought to include ducts and heating systems in the&nbsp;conditioned space.” -

581
00:46:08,611 --> 00:46:11,252
pfft, recent years‽

582
00:46:11,252 --> 00:46:14,254
Listen, we figured that one out like…

583
00:46:14,254 --> 00:46:15,442
forever ago.

584
00:46:15,442 --> 00:46:17,679
How has&nbsp;it taken the rest of you so long?

585
00:46:17,679 --> 00:46:23,993
The house I grew up in will be 100 years old before too long 
and&nbsp;ya know where none of its ducts were going?

586
00:46:23,993 --> 00:46:25,934
THE ATTIC.

587
00:46:25,934 --> 00:46:29,461
Because the people who built it used their brains!

588
00:46:29,461 --> 00:46:32,268
And don’t give me any crap about ceiling vs. floor vents,

589
00:46:32,268 --> 00:46:34,182
"oh it’s better to have ceiling vents in&nbsp;warmer climates" -

590
00:46:34,182 --> 00:46:39,842
First of all, we need plenty of cooling here, too
and the floor vents are doing just&nbsp;fine.

591
00:46:39,842 --> 00:46:41,791
It’s forced air, y’know.

592
00:46:41,791 --> 00:46:44,282
Plus, ever heard of a ceiling fan?

593
00:46:44,282 --> 00:46:53,461
And if you absolutely insist that they be&nbsp;in the ceiling, 
you could be running ducts below the ceiling and enclosing them in decorative soffits

594
00:46:53,461 --> 00:46:57,517
and if&nbsp;you’re so vain that you’d rather it be pretty than efficient,

595
00:46:57,517 --> 00:46:59,645
you probably think this video is about&nbsp;you

596
00:46:59,645 --> 00:47:03,034
and also - look up what a plenum truss is.

597
00:47:03,034 --> 00:47:04,982
You can have both.

598
00:47:04,982 --> 00:47:07,807
There are so many better options&nbsp;than

599
00:47:07,807 --> 00:47:12,397
“stick the thing up in the attic and make a spaghetti octopus of flexiduct, that’ll&nbsp;do.”

600
00:47:12,397 --> 00:47:19,891
Thinking about how much energy is wasted — and money! — just because
sticking everything up in&nbsp;the attic is a bit prettier and cheaper

601
00:47:19,891 --> 00:47:22,946
is the kinda thing that keeps me up at night.

602
00:47:22,946 --> 00:47:25,622
Maybe you&nbsp;think that’s strange but I think I'm strange, too.

603
00:47:26,195 --> 00:47:28,756
I’m also a liar!

604
00:47:28,756 --> 00:47:33,876
I actually do have two runs&nbsp;of insulated ducting
going through soffits in the garage

605
00:47:33,876 --> 00:47:39,007
which is an insulated space but not&nbsp;technically a conditioned space.

606
00:47:39,007 --> 00:47:45,862
Those ducts feed the kitchen registers and,
since some heat&nbsp;does get lost to the garage through leakage,

607
00:47:45,862 --> 00:47:48,580
well that should ideally be accounted for.

608
00:47:48,580 --> 00:47:51,540
Now,&nbsp;good news, I did.

609
00:47:51,540 --> 00:47:56,133
I will also fight you on whether that run of ducting should count as a loss -

610
00:47:56,133 --> 00:48:01,750
if&nbsp;it keeps the garage marginally above freezing, which it does,
then I would call that a useful&nbsp;loss

611
00:48:01,750 --> 00:48:05,305
and is a useful loss even a loss at all?

612
00:48:05,305 --> 00:48:07,647
Yeah - chew on that one, philosophers.

613
00:48:07,647 --> 00:48:16,250
Anyway,&nbsp;during the test I had yet another heater
on yet another thermostatic control to keep the garage at&nbsp;47 degrees,

614
00:48:16,250 --> 00:48:24,473
which I know for a fact is warmer than it would ordinarily stay
because I run that&nbsp;setup (with a more legit plug-in thermostat) all winter

615
00:48:24,473 --> 00:48:27,229
and it does indeed need to run from&nbsp;time to time.

616
00:48:27,229 --> 00:48:31,864
The furnace alone will not keep the garage at 47 when it gets extremely cold.

617
00:48:31,864 --> 00:48:34,474
With another energy monitor monitoring energy,

618
00:48:34,474 --> 00:48:40,446
I know that from 8 PM to 8 AM,
keeping&nbsp;the garage at 47 degrees entirely with a space heater

619
00:48:40,446 --> 00:48:42,973
(and I had my car unplugged,&nbsp;for the record)

620
00:48:42,973 --> 00:48:49,835
took 9.76 kilowatt-hours,
representing a continuous draw of about&nbsp;800 watts.

621
00:48:49,835 --> 00:48:55,302
That’s probably pretty generous,
and I’ll bet the actual loss from those ducts&nbsp;is closer to 300 watts.

622
00:48:55,302 --> 00:48:57,051
Maybe not even that.

623
00:48:57,051 --> 00:48:58,090
So.

624
00:48:58,090 --> 00:49:04,116
Now comes the part where I ask -
why the heck&nbsp;is my furnace so big in the first place?

625
00:49:04,116 --> 00:49:12,106
Well, I don’t know for sure but I’ll bet the HVAC&nbsp;company hired to install this system just looked at the square footage figure for&nbsp;my home,

626
00:49:12,106 --> 00:49:15,925
maybe considered that it was a townhome but could very well not have,

627
00:49:15,925 --> 00:49:22,804
then just&nbsp;slapped in whatever furnace the supply house had handy and for cheap which was the next-size&nbsp;up from their ol' rules of thumb.

628
00:49:23,943 --> 00:49:26,182
That’s actually another problem here -

629
00:49:26,182 --> 00:49:29,739
because oversizing a&nbsp;gas heating system doesn’t matter that much,

630
00:49:29,739 --> 00:49:37,532
supply houses can just stock a few&nbsp;common sizes to take care of 99.9%
of all the housing stock in their area

631
00:49:37,532 --> 00:49:41,702
and&nbsp;that means they buy a lot of those machines,
economies of scale kick in,

632
00:49:41,702 --> 00:49:43,739
and everything&nbsp;is self-reinforcing.

633
00:49:43,739 --> 00:49:45,167
It's not great.

634
00:49:45,167 --> 00:49:51,680
In the case of my home, I wasn’t there for the&nbsp;process of speccing the equipment
so that is just speculation on my part.

635
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:55,283
But last Spring, I saw this&nbsp;very thing -

636
00:49:55,283 --> 00:50:00,407
HVAC folks shooting from the hip without any sort of thought - in action.

637
00:50:00,407 --> 00:50:05,797
My&nbsp;parents decided to join the revolution
and got themselves a cold-climate heat pump.

638
00:50:05,797 --> 00:50:15,336
Likely&nbsp;due to a combination of the fact that nobody knows what heat pumps are around here and the&nbsp;general character of the builder who built their all-electric home,

639
00:50:15,336 --> 00:50:16,968
they never had a heat pump.

640
00:50:16,968 --> 00:50:23,834
They just had a big ol’ air handler with 20kW of heat strips
which would come on like a giant&nbsp;hair dryer,

641
00:50:23,834 --> 00:50:27,448
and a 3-ton air conditioner provided cooling in the summer.

642
00:50:27,448 --> 00:50:29,335
When they inquired about&nbsp;a heat pump,

643
00:50:29,335 --> 00:50:35,557
the sales rep who came out to give them a quote
saw that 100A circuit powering&nbsp;the air handler and,

644
00:50:35,557 --> 00:50:43,235
likely assuming that that was actually appropriate for their home, 
determined&nbsp;that a 5-ton heat pump system would be necessary.

645
00:50:43,235 --> 00:50:48,582
But see, they, too, had a smart thermostat&nbsp;in control of their heating system.

646
00:50:48,582 --> 00:50:51,812
And by looking at historical data and system&nbsp;performance,

647
00:50:51,812 --> 00:50:59,498
I determined that the most heat output they’d ever needed 
was about 10&nbsp;kW, which is 34,000 BTU/hr.

648
00:50:59,498 --> 00:51:02,871
In tonnage, that’s just shy of 3 tons.

649
00:51:02,871 --> 00:51:09,753
The heat pump series&nbsp;they were looking at is capable of maintaining
its full rated output at 5 degrees Fahrenheit,

650
00:51:09,753 --> 00:51:15,157
and in those temperatures their home probably only needs about 8 kW of heat.

651
00:51:15,157 --> 00:51:18,517
Since three-tons&nbsp;was sufficient for cooling in the summer,

652
00:51:18,517 --> 00:51:26,561
and a three-ton Bryant heat pump is supposedly&nbsp;able to
output almost exactly 10kW of heat even at 5 degrees,

653
00:51:26,561 --> 00:51:30,700
jumping up to a 5 ton would have just be&nbsp;overkill.

654
00:51:30,700 --> 00:51:38,210
Luckily, I was able to convince the sales rep that a 3-ton system
with 15kW of backup&nbsp;heat would be OK.

655
00:51:38,210 --> 00:51:40,091
And that’s what they installed.

656
00:51:40,091 --> 00:51:46,284
And I’m very happy (and, to be honest, relieved)&nbsp;
to report that I was correct.

657
00:51:46,284 --> 00:51:48,576
They had no issues in the summer staying cool,

658
00:51:48,576 --> 00:51:54,194
(in fact this system&nbsp;can actually produce about 4 tons of cooling despite being classified as a three-ton)

659
00:51:54,194 --> 00:51:57,005
and in&nbsp;that cold snap I ran my test?

660
00:51:57,005 --> 00:52:00,857
Well, here’s what that looked like for them according to their&nbsp;thermostat.

661
00:52:00,857 --> 00:52:08,269
Even when the outdoor temperature was solidly below zero,
 their heat pump could&nbsp;produce all the heat they needed.

662
00:52:08,269 --> 00:52:16,618
To be sure, this was right on the edge - the thermostat was&nbsp;
constantly calling for heat and I’m sure the heat pump wasn’t running very efficiently.

663
00:52:16,618 --> 00:52:22,646
But the&nbsp;thermostat didn’t call for backup heat until the outdoor temp had hit -12.

664
00:52:22,646 --> 00:52:30,733
Only then did the indoor&nbsp;temperature fall three degrees below desired,
and that’s the point where their thermostat&nbsp;is configured to kick on the heat strips.

665
00:52:30,733 --> 00:52:34,409
And even then, it only tickled them a few times&nbsp;in the dead of night.

666
00:52:34,409 --> 00:52:41,606
This cold snap was the only time this winter where the heat strips were&nbsp;
truly necessary despite it being extremely cold

667
00:52:41,606 --> 00:52:44,985
and despite only having a 3-ton heat pump.

668
00:52:44,985 --> 00:52:49,087
A&nbsp;5-ton unit would definitely have been overkill.

669
00:52:49,087 --> 00:52:54,003
So why did the sales rep think a&nbsp;5-ton unit would be required?

670
00:52:54,003 --> 00:53:00,363
Well, based on how we used to build homes around here,&nbsp;
and the general character of weather we get,

671
00:53:00,363 --> 00:53:04,681
it makes sense to assume you’re going to need&nbsp;more heating output than cooling,

672
00:53:04,681 --> 00:53:11,370
and that assumption would only reinforce using the existing&nbsp;
heating system’s output as a valid benchmark.

673
00:53:11,370 --> 00:53:16,552
And remember, there is at least some benefit to&nbsp;oversizing the heat source -

674
00:53:16,552 --> 00:53:24,268
when you hit the design temp outside, a properly-sized heating&nbsp;system
cannot get your home any warmer than the indoor design temperature.

675
00:53:24,268 --> 00:53:32,263
That’s precisely what&nbsp;was going on in the data here - they had reached equilibrium where the heat added by the heat pump&nbsp;was exactly the same

676
00:53:32,263 --> 00:53:40,036
as the heat leaving through walls and windows
so it wasn’t making their&nbsp;home any warmer despite running constantly.

677
00:53:40,036 --> 00:53:48,972
Once it gets colder outside than that equilibrium&nbsp;point,
then the house starts to lose energy and some secondary source of heat is needed.

678
00:53:48,972 --> 00:53:55,542
With a&nbsp;fully-electric heat pump system,
that secondary source is your resistive backup heat - the&nbsp;heat strips.

679
00:53:55,542 --> 00:54:01,065
But if you only have a gas furnace, you usually don’t have a secondary heat source.

680
00:54:01,065 --> 00:54:10,018
So, rather than explain to their customers that it’s quite normal for your heat to kind&nbsp;of putter out when it’s 10 below outside, go get some space heaters if you’re too cold,

681
00:54:10,018 --> 00:54:16,851
installers can just chuck in a furnace
that’s a little bit bigger than it strictly needs to&nbsp;be and avoid complaints.

682
00:54:16,851 --> 00:54:19,507
Which, to be honest, is completely understandable.

683
00:54:19,507 --> 00:54:21,876
I&nbsp;get why that’s common practice.

684
00:54:21,876 --> 00:54:23,353
But here’s the rub:

685
00:54:23,353 --> 00:54:25,826
everything is changing.

686
00:54:25,826 --> 00:54:30,714
For&nbsp;a start, we have been building homes in a more energy-efficient fashion lately.

687
00:54:30,714 --> 00:54:32,365
At least around&nbsp;here.

688
00:54:32,365 --> 00:54:38,540
My mom and dad’s home is about 15 years old,
and it actually has the same heating demand&nbsp;in extreme winter weather

689
00:54:38,540 --> 00:54:41,426
as it does cooling demand in the height of summer.

690
00:54:41,426 --> 00:54:46,153
I’ll bet very&nbsp;few HVAC people would believe that to be true but… it is!

691
00:54:46,153 --> 00:54:48,223
I have the data to prove it.

692
00:54:48,223 --> 00:54:51,638
And sure enough, my new home is in the same situation.

693
00:54:51,638 --> 00:55:02,541
I have a 2-ton air conditioner&nbsp;right now which has proven perfectly fine, and, well,
now I know that a 2-ton heat&nbsp;pump will work just fine for heating, too!

694
00:55:02,541 --> 00:55:08,305
Remember, that’s especially good to know because&nbsp;
I only have 100A electrical service.

695
00:55:08,305 --> 00:55:10,530
So where does this leave us?

696
00:55:10,530 --> 00:55:14,821
Well first, let me&nbsp;say this to the HVAC contractors of the world:

697
00:55:14,821 --> 00:55:18,707
You have got to stop using simple rules of thumb!

698
00:55:18,707 --> 00:55:22,492
The world is changing so your habits need to, as well.

699
00:55:22,492 --> 00:55:28,596
For one thing, a home built in the&nbsp;1990’s or later
is a whole different animal from one built 50 or 60 years ago.

700
00:55:28,596 --> 00:55:36,083
But also,&nbsp;you can’t just be looking at someone’s current equipment
and assuming what they have now is&nbsp;actually correct or necessary.

701
00:55:36,083 --> 00:55:43,182
Of course people will be satisfied with a wildly oversized heating&nbsp;system - 
it’ll heat just fine, and fast!

702
00:55:43,182 --> 00:55:46,722
But just asking “does it heat well?” isn’t enough.

703
00:55:46,722 --> 00:55:50,972
At least&nbsp;around here, most people have heating systems
that are oversized up the wazoo.

704
00:55:50,972 --> 00:55:55,000
Which is making heat&nbsp;pumps seem a lot harder than they actually are.

705
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,610
As I hope to have shown in this video,

706
00:55:57,610 --> 00:56:04,051
there are&nbsp;several ways to concretely find out
what sort of heating and cooling system you actually need.

707
00:56:04,051 --> 00:56:08,292
You&nbsp;could do the crazy thing and set up a bunch of space heaters on kill-a-watts.

708
00:56:08,292 --> 00:56:12,127
You could also do an actual load&nbsp;calculation to work this out on paper.

709
00:56:12,127 --> 00:56:18,320
Or you can gather data from a logging thermostat,
verify&nbsp;the heating and cooling output of the equipment it’s controlling,

710
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:23,018
and actually find out what&nbsp;sort of heating and cooling
was needed in what sort of weather

711
00:56:23,018 --> 00:56:31,000
with all of the variables&nbsp;and vagaries of that home’s heating system, building materials, size, orientation to&nbsp;the sun, all that accounted for in-situ.&nbsp;&nbsp;

712
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:35,252
That worked perfectly for my mom and dad and&nbsp;for me, too.

713
00:56:35,252 --> 00:56:41,193
Of course there are plenty of smart thermostats on the market right now
which will let you see this data, and hey,&nbsp;&nbsp;

714
00:56:41,600 --> 00:56:46,119
HVAC people, if you’re working with a homeowner&nbsp;
who has a smart thermostat,

715
00:56:46,119 --> 00:56:52,028
you should learn how to get to this data (in case they don’t know how)
and ask them to show it to you!

716
00:56:52,028 --> 00:56:57,594
You are leaving extraordinarily valuable information on the&nbsp;
table if you don’t look at what’s already there.

717
00:56:57,594 --> 00:57:01,446
Now, I get it - change is scary, and hard!

718
00:57:01,446 --> 00:57:04,926
It’s&nbsp;much easier to just do things as you’ve always done them,

719
00:57:04,926 --> 00:57:12,811
and these new heat pump systems are more&nbsp;complex with more variables to consider than the furnaces and air conditioners you’re used&nbsp;to.

720
00:57:12,811 --> 00:57:19,204
Plus, when you have customer satisfaction to be concerned with,
it is often a safer&nbsp;bet to go overboard.

721
00:57:19,204 --> 00:57:22,498
In my heart of hearts, I know this is what’s happening.

722
00:57:22,498 --> 00:57:30,085
I’ve&nbsp;spent my time in customer service,
and we all know there’s a particular kind&nbsp;of customer who just isn’t reasonable.

723
00:57:30,085 --> 00:57:34,885
That customer will simply never find a properly-sized&nbsp;
heating system to be acceptable

724
00:57:34,885 --> 00:57:37,224
no matter how hard you try to explain to them that

725
00:57:37,224 --> 00:57:42,817
"yes, actually, it should be struggling when it gets extremely cold outside 
because it’s&nbsp;extremely cold outside!

726
00:57:42,817 --> 00:57:47,122
If you need more heat, plug in a heater or maybe just bundle up."

727
00:57:47,122 --> 00:57:54,571
And the&nbsp;worst part is you don’t know who that customer is gonna be
until it’s too late and they call&nbsp;to chew your head off.

728
00:57:54,571 --> 00:57:55,739
Trust me.

729
00:57:55,739 --> 00:57:57,126
I get it.

730
00:57:57,126 --> 00:57:59,213
But we have to push through this.

731
00:57:59,213 --> 00:58:00,791
We all&nbsp;do.

732
00:58:00,791 --> 00:58:05,542
Proper load calculations should be way more common than they are these days.

733
00:58:05,542 --> 00:58:10,811
Especially&nbsp;because there are more and more tools available 
to do a lot of the gruntwork for you.

734
00:58:10,811 --> 00:58:18,658
Perhaps&nbsp;you’ve seen those apps contractors are using where they just take photos of your house and&nbsp;it spits out extremely accurate dimensions.

735
00:58:18,658 --> 00:58:24,720
Somebody could build that for HVAC folks&nbsp;
and your sales calls would probably impress.

736
00:58:25,155 --> 00:58:31,915
Also, for the love of all things holy, 
be honest&nbsp;with your customers about what heat pumps are!

737
00:58:31,915 --> 00:58:35,091
Yes, there’s government money on the table to help people get them

738
00:58:35,091 --> 00:58:41,810
but don’t be evil — that’s right, I said evil — and exploit that money
to pad your bottom&nbsp;line.

739
00:58:41,810 --> 00:58:44,047
Help people out.

740
00:58:44,047 --> 00:58:48,801
For reference,
this is essentially the same equipment that my parent’s just had installed.

741
00:58:48,801 --> 00:58:53,063
Yeah,&nbsp;it’s a different brand, but the OEM is almost certainly the same.

742
00:58:53,063 --> 00:58:55,039
Ever see that Tyler Perry&nbsp;movie?

743
00:58:55,039 --> 00:58:56,896
Midea Builds a Heat Pump?

744
00:58:56,896 --> 00:59:00,328
Anyway, this website will ship everything to you,

745
00:59:00,328 --> 00:59:05,036
including&nbsp;a lineset, a thermostat, and the heat strips, for about $4,000.

746
00:59:05,036 --> 00:59:08,798
They even sell Mitsubishi&nbsp;equipment for not much more.

747
00:59:08,798 --> 00:59:12,666
To be clear, I am not endorsing this product line or website…

748
00:59:12,666 --> 00:59:20,754
but if a contractor will replace your furnace and AC for you for $5,000 all-in
but wants $15,000&nbsp;or $20,000 for a heat pump…

749
00:59:20,754 --> 00:59:22,809
well maybe show them this?

750
00:59:22,809 --> 00:59:24,812
Let them know you know what’s up.

751
00:59:24,812 --> 00:59:32,054
Even if they need to hire an electrician to run a circuit for heat strips,
some of these&nbsp;quotes I keep hearing about are pretty fishy.

752
00:59:32,257 --> 00:59:37,380
Another thing that we all need to consider&nbsp;
is whether heat strips are even necessary any longer.

753
00:59:37,380 --> 00:59:42,100
With the development of cold-climate&nbsp;heat pumps,
in many places they just aren’t.

754
00:59:42,100 --> 00:59:46,710
Heck, they’re barely required here in the frozen tundra&nbsp;of Illinois.

755
00:59:46,710 --> 00:59:51,940
I’d personally still want them as a backup
in case something goes wrong with the&nbsp;heat pump itself,

756
00:59:51,940 --> 00:59:56,178
but remember that I kept my house warm with a few space heaters.

757
00:59:56,178 --> 01:00:01,619
If I had just set&nbsp;up four of them and left the HVAC fan on
to move heat around to the whole house,

758
01:00:01,619 --> 01:00:05,040
I mean that&nbsp;would work well enough in an emergency!

759
01:00:05,040 --> 01:00:11,053
And if you just can’t bear the thought of not having&nbsp;
a fossil-fuel at your disposal,

760
01:00:11,053 --> 01:00:15,214
just get yourself a Little Buddy heater and a grill bottle of propane.

761
01:00:15,214 --> 01:00:18,035
Then crack a window open ‘cause that’s nasty.

762
01:00:18,035 --> 01:00:22,169
I don’t really have a clean conclusion here, but thanks for watching anyway.

763
01:00:22,169 --> 01:00:29,271
I hope this doesn’t come across as too angry at HVAC professionals -&nbsp;
you folks in the field all rock!

764
01:00:29,271 --> 01:00:35,385
Your companies and their practices… well I have my concerns
but&nbsp;I’m sure you do, too.

765
01:00:35,385 --> 01:00:37,780
And I didn’t even touch on insulation!

766
01:00:37,780 --> 01:00:41,069
Add more of that to your home and&nbsp;all this gets easier!

767
01:00:41,069 --> 01:00:45,576
It’s no doubt thanks to recent building codes
that I can get away with&nbsp;a 2-ton heat pump

768
01:00:45,576 --> 01:00:50,713
and my mom and dad, in a big, single family home mind you,
 can get away&nbsp;with a 3-tonner.

769
01:00:50,713 --> 01:00:58,612
There’s a lot to do when making any kind of change,
but first and&nbsp;foremost you need to see where you’re actually at.

770
01:00:58,612 --> 01:01:04,562
Professionals could - and I’d argue should&nbsp;- do that for you as a matter of course.

771
01:01:04,562 --> 01:01:08,826
But hopefully this video gives you some ideas on&nbsp;how to help yourself.

772
01:01:08,826 --> 01:01:11,599
And with that… the end.

773
01:01:12,656 --> 01:01:15,145
♫ appropriately smooth jazz ♫

774
01:01:16,101 --> 01:01:17,953
If my android phone,

775
01:01:17,953 --> 01:01:20,884
a Pixel with your own dang&nbsp;SOC,

776
01:01:20,884 --> 01:01:25,602
on which I have given the Google Home app full, unrestricted location permission

777
01:01:25,602 --> 01:01:29,161
with&nbsp;precise location and wifi scanning turned on,

778
01:01:29,161 --> 01:01:36,389
happens to be on the same wifi network as the&nbsp;
Google Nest thermostat which is wired to my furnace and can’t possibly moved…

779
01:01:36,389 --> 01:01:38,365
ahhh!!!

780
01:01:38,365 --> 01:01:43,573
…kilowatt-hours, representing and average draw of 5.115 kW,

781
01:01:43,573 --> 01:01:47,569
or seventeen&nbsp;thousand four hundred fifty [ ] two BTU fuff

782
01:01:47,569 --> 01:01:50,111
They’ll be better for our wallet&nbsp;tt too.

783
01:01:50,111 --> 01:01:51,499
What happened there?

784
01:01:51,499 --> 01:01:54,448
…and I know for a fact that the winter.

785
01:01:54,448 --> 01:01:55,661
Fark!

786
01:01:55,661 --> 01:01:57,712
Are simply looking at the&nbsp;equipment that

787
01:01:57,712 --> 01:02:00,692
ke fphsasf asf fha!

788
01:02:02,685 --> 01:02:05,671
Get a load of this guy, talking about heating loads.

789
01:02:05,671 --> 01:02:09,232
He should really try a new heat pump on for size!

790
01:02:09,232 --> 01:02:13,291
OK, gonna level with you, running out of puns for this one.

791
01:02:13,291 --> 01:02:16,510
GOOD THING I'VE GOT AUXILIARY PUNS!

792
01:02:16,510 --> 01:02:19,633
I'm prepared for any condition.

